GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Seattle or Bust
Posts: 9409
Joined: Wed Mar 09, 2022 7:09 pm

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by Seattle or Bust » Sun Jul 27, 2025 5:36 am

Donn Beach wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 5:30 am
okay, if that's the chest...
Cute.

Image

Image

Others don't think he's that good.

DavidGee24
Posts: 9286
Joined: Wed May 01, 2019 6:24 pm
Location: Phillips Ranch, CA

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by DavidGee24 » Sun Jul 27, 2025 6:16 am

Mariners win! We're HEROES!!!

So of course when I don't go to the game they win. Definitely not going tomorrow.

Pharmabro
Posts: 6373
Joined: Sun Nov 22, 2020 8:32 am

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by Pharmabro » Sun Jul 27, 2025 7:21 am

Vogelbomb wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:27 am
JP Crawford is 3 for last 36. OPS has dropped about 060 points. Im done with him in the leadoff spot. He's entering D-Mo territory folks
He needs a day off JP was near .300 ( .296 .411 .413 .824 ) back in mid-June.Come on back. If someone was getting on in front of Julio we win yesterday's game in 9.

We can never have nice things.

User avatar
Donn Beach
Posts: 17119
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 1:06 am

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by Donn Beach » Sun Jul 27, 2025 11:16 am

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 5:36 am
Donn Beach wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 5:30 am
okay, if that's the chest...
Cute.

Image

Image

Others don't think he's that good.
sorry, I was interrupted mid post attempt...okay, if that's chest, he makes that throw
https://www.tiktok.com/@thecouchgm/vide ... 8161330463
https://youtube.com/shorts/adVcIbheHR4? ... 1pKZTydjpw

go to the 5.5 minute mark, Trout ground out, is that the sort of throw you're questioning?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jL7Q1t7JGVE
that?
https://www.mlb.com/video/emerson-hanco ... ideo-share
Last edited by Donn Beach on Sun Jul 27, 2025 2:09 pm, edited 3 times in total.

User avatar
Juliooooo
Posts: 11591
Joined: Wed May 01, 2019 4:38 am
Location: Pdx

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by Juliooooo » Sun Jul 27, 2025 12:48 pm

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 5:19 am
Juliooooo wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 5:17 am
From the baked eye it seems he has a strong arm. Statcast has him at 83.x mph, the 44th percentile. For reference Geno is 83.4 and 43 percentile, so about the same as Geno. He’s 19 of 36 qualified 3B, so dead average when it comes to arm strength.
Velocity I suppose is one way to measure arm strength.

The other is consistency of throw and how easy you make it for your 1B to be caught.

IMO Williamson has a real problem with low, off-target throws.
Semantics, but it’s the way to measure how strong an arm is. Not sure if they have any data on accuracy for throws though. Either way, his arm isn’t special in terms of strength. Not sure how it holds up for accuracy
The poster formerly known as Kingfelixk. With a new forum comes a new boardname. Julio is my guy, plus we share a birthday, so that's Culiooooo

Adopt a Mariner-Julio Rodriguez

User avatar
Juliooooo
Posts: 11591
Joined: Wed May 01, 2019 4:38 am
Location: Pdx

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by Juliooooo » Sun Jul 27, 2025 12:56 pm

Pharmabro wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 7:21 am
Vogelbomb wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:27 am
JP Crawford is 3 for last 36. OPS has dropped about 060 points. Im done with him in the leadoff spot. He's entering D-Mo territory folks
He needs a day off JP was near .300 ( .296 .411 .413 .824 ) back in mid-June.Come on back. If someone was getting on in front of Julio we win yesterday's game in 9.

We can never have nice things.
The one thing that’s been nice is the team has kinda taken turns getting hot. Polo, Cal, JP and Moore in April. Mostly Cal in May, but Julio and JP were ok. Cal, Solano, canzone and Garver in June. Randy, polo, Julio and Canzone in July.
The poster formerly known as Kingfelixk. With a new forum comes a new boardname. Julio is my guy, plus we share a birthday, so that's Culiooooo

Adopt a Mariner-Julio Rodriguez

User avatar
Donn Beach
Posts: 17119
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 1:06 am

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by Donn Beach » Sun Jul 27, 2025 1:11 pm

Juliooooo wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 12:56 pm
Pharmabro wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 7:21 am
Vogelbomb wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:27 am
JP Crawford is 3 for last 36. OPS has dropped about 060 points. Im done with him in the leadoff spot. He's entering D-Mo territory folks
He needs a day off JP was near .300 ( .296 .411 .413 .824 ) back in mid-June.Come on back. If someone was getting on in front of Julio we win yesterday's game in 9.

We can never have nice things.
The one thing that’s been nice is the team has kinda taken turns getting hot. Polo, Cal, JP and Moore in April. Mostly Cal in May, but Julio and JP were ok. Cal, Solano, canzone and Garver in June. Randy, polo, Julio and Canzone in July.
and that's the way its done, its not about all nine of them, its about some of them taking turns putting the team on their shoulders at a time. In that sense I don't think you move guys up and down in the lineup so much as waiting turns

harmony
Posts: 1614
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 4:59 pm
Location: Portland OR

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by harmony » Sun Jul 27, 2025 3:43 pm

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:56 am
harmony wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:48 am
Vogelbomb wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:27 am
JP Crawford is 3 for last 36. OPS has dropped about 060 points. Im done with him in the leadoff spot. He's entering D-Mo territory folks
Who should lead off in place of J.P. Crawford, whom FanGraphs projects with the highest projected on-base percentage for the Mariners the remainder of the season?

https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?t ... =dashboard

The Mariners are unlikely to make a signficiant lineup change based on a sample of 36 at-bats.
He has no walks in his last 31 AB's and just 6 in his last 129. He had 20 walks in April in 113 PA's and 16 in May in 117. Walking is how he built this really high OBP. He's not doing that anymore for some reason.

Seems FanGraphs will likely be wrong there.

Trade for Geno... put Julio at 1, Randy at 2 and JP 9th.

Ez.
Fewer MLB managers and front offices are falling for the hot bat/cold bat fallacy when a wealth of historical data is available.

User avatar
Donn Beach
Posts: 17119
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 1:06 am

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by Donn Beach » Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:25 pm

Sq
He's not doing that anymore for some reason
Modern analytics comes up with reasons. We use some splits, they use the statcast info and whatever. They are taking into account all his at bats, his swings, the parks, pitchers he's faced, launch angles, bat speed. They crunch it all together and predict he's not in a particularly alarming slump.

Seattle or Bust
Posts: 9409
Joined: Wed Mar 09, 2022 7:09 pm

Re: GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

Post by Seattle or Bust » Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:36 pm

harmony wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 3:43 pm
Seattle or Bust wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:56 am
harmony wrote:
Sun Jul 27, 2025 4:48 am

Who should lead off in place of J.P. Crawford, whom FanGraphs projects with the highest projected on-base percentage for the Mariners the remainder of the season?

https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?t ... =dashboard

The Mariners are unlikely to make a signficiant lineup change based on a sample of 36 at-bats.
He has no walks in his last 31 AB's and just 6 in his last 129. He had 20 walks in April in 113 PA's and 16 in May in 117. Walking is how he built this really high OBP. He's not doing that anymore for some reason.

Seems FanGraphs will likely be wrong there.

Trade for Geno... put Julio at 1, Randy at 2 and JP 9th.

Ez.
Fewer MLB managers and front offices are falling for the hot bat/cold bat fallacy when a wealth of historical data is available.
Yet JP has been no stranger to moving from 9th to leadoff and back in the lineup.

He played 23 games in the beginning of the year in the 9th spot b/c he was horrible to start the year. He moved to the 1 spot when he picked it up.

In '23, same thing.

So apparently 2x managers fell for the "hot bat/cold bat fallacy" or whatever the fuck that means. It could just be, "we don't want a guy who is currently hitting like shit batting leadoff." Does that compute R2D2?

Post Reply