2025 Prospects Thread

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D-train
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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by D-train » Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:25 am

HawkandMariner88 wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 2:59 am
Will Anderson get a shot this season or no?
Nope they are shutting him down. He threw 130 pitches so needs a nine month break.
dt

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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by Juliooooo » Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:32 am

D-train wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 2:56 am
Juliooooo wrote:
Mon Jul 14, 2025 4:53 am
So where does Anderson, Stevenson and Becker fit in the system? Anderson might be #1 while the other 2 probably slot around 11-12 after Sloan
Anderson isn't going to be #1 without throwing a pitch. He will be about #5. I would put Becker in the high single digits a Stevenson about 12
Joe Doyle said he would have him 25 overall just 2 spots behind Emerson. He might not be 1, but I’ll be surprised if he isn’t top3
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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by Juliooooo » Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:36 am

Laz
Anderson
Emerson
Arroyo
Ford
Farmelo
Celestin
Cjintje
Sloan
Becker


Knocking on the door, Bautista and McGraw. Those are the 2 I think could find their way in there next 12 months
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D-train
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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by D-train » Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:46 am

Juliooooo wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:36 am
Laz
Anderson
Emerson
Arroyo
Ford
Farmelo
Celestin
Cjintje
Sloan
Becker


Knocking on the door, Bautista and McGraw. Those are the 2 I think could find their way in there next 12 months
Holy mother of Jesus. That list is so great. God bless you my friend.
dt

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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by Juliooooo » Thu Jul 17, 2025 4:06 am

D-train wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:46 am
Juliooooo wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:36 am
Laz
Anderson
Emerson
Arroyo
Ford
Farmelo
Celestin
Cjintje
Sloan
Becker


Knocking on the door, Bautista and McGraw. Those are the 2 I think could find their way in there next 12 months
Holy mother of Jesus. That list is so great. God bless you my friend.
I put laz up there for you :). Truthfully, I don’t have a consistent thing I use as how I gauge. I guess I use 15-50 % as ceiling, 15-35 % as what I feel their likelihood of making the pros, and 20-70% gut, so my ranking might change day to day based off what I’ve eaten.
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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by Bil522 » Thu Jul 17, 2025 7:28 pm

I am putting this here but maybe it should in the draft thread. This is an article from the Athletic by Keith Law about what he thinks about the top/most interesting about the Mariner picks.

Seattle Mariners: Kade Anderson the top pitcher in the class; Luke Stevenson and Nick Becker good values at their slots
The Mariners landed the player I thought was going to go first, LSU lefty starter Kade Anderson (1), who was a major reason the Tigers won their umpteenth College World Series. Anderson works at 91-95 with two fastballs and throws a slider and curveball, as well as a changeup that was one of the best in the class. I had one analyst tell me this spring he thought Anderson’s pitches graded out the best based on their characteristics when taken as a group out of any pitcher’s arsenal in the draft. He was worked hard by LSU, as they do down there, but he competed as well as any pitcher I saw this spring. He should be in the majors by the end of next year.

UNC catcher Luke Stevenson (1A) had a weird year at the plate, with a Three True Outcomes (walks, strikeouts, homers) rate of 51 percent. He posted a BABIP of just .270 despite a hard-hit rate of 57 percent, which is hard to reconcile beyond bad luck — hard-hit balls are more likely to become hits, especially if they’re hit in the air, which he did nearly two-thirds of the time. That’s a long way of saying I think he’s a lot better than the .250/.414/.552 line implies, and even if he ends up striking out 25 percent of the time he’ll be an above-average regular because he can catch and throw and he has power.

New Jersey prep shortstop Nick Becker (2) might have been a first-rounder if someone hadn’t altered his swing to make him all launch-angly, a change that might be appropriate for big power hitters but not for Becker, as he didn’t hit nearly as well this summer with a steep uphill swing that cost him contact. He’s a 55 runner and has a better than even chance to stay at shortstop. If the Mariners can undo the mechanical damage — and many others, like the Siani brothers and Griff O’Ferrall, have not been able to reverse similar swing changes — they could have a star here.

Right-hander Griffin Hugus (3) transferred from Cincinnati, where he was a reliever for two years, to Miami this spring to join the Hurricanes’ rotation. He led Miami in all the things, as their only starter to take the ball every weekend, working mostly fastball/slider, 92-94 on the four-seamer, with a curve and seldom-used changeup. Nothing here is plus yet, but he repeats the delivery well (with a full windup, kind of a novelty at this point) and showed much better command and control working in the rotation than he did in relief. What rhymes with Hugus?

Dallas Baptist lefty Mason Peters (4) struck out 31.5 percent of batters he faced this spring, working mostly in relief, but with an even higher strikeout rate in his four starts (35.8 percent). He’s a slightly smaller guy who works 92-94 with two solid breaking balls, a slider and an old-school curveball, and comes very online to the plate. He needs something for righties, as he had enough of a platoon split this year to affect his odds of sticking as a starter.

Indiana center fielder Korbyn Dickerson (5) has first-round tools, with at least 70 power and similar speed, but it’s a 40 hit tool at best. Once conference play began, even Big Ten pitchers gave him fits, as he posted a .319 OBP and struck out more than five times as often as he walked. This is a good spot for him, though, as this sort of upside is rare beyond the top 3-4 rounds, and you might argue that because it was his first full, healthy year in college, there could be more growth ahead of him just from getting reps.

Right-hander Lucas Kelly (6) was a two-way player in JUCO before transferring to Arizona State this year. He’s a true sidearmer who’s 95-96 but lacks an average second pitch and got tattooed by lefties this spring for a .556 SLG. Appalachian State right-hander Jackson Steensma (9) missed 2025 after December 2024 Tommy John surgery. He’s a big kid, listed at 6-foot-4, 244 pounds, and I think maybe more than that, with a basket of four fringy to average pitches, and threw them all for enough strikes as a sophomore that he would probably have gone in the top 5 rounds had he been healthy.

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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by D-train » Thu Jul 17, 2025 8:19 pm

Juliooooo wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:36 am
Laz
Anderson
Emerson
Arroyo
Ford
Farmelo
Celestin
Cjintje
Sloan
Becker


Knocking on the door, Bautista and McGraw. Those are the 2 I think could find their way in there next 12 months
Nice. I like it!
dt

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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by D-train » Thu Jul 17, 2025 8:20 pm

D-train wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:46 am
Juliooooo wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:36 am
Laz
Anderson
Emerson
Arroyo
Ford
Farmelo
Celestin
Cjintje
Sloan
Becker


Knocking on the door, Bautista and McGraw. Those are the 2 I think could find their way in there next 12 months
Holy mother of Jesus. That list is so great. God bless you my friend.
LOL I had been drinking for 3:36 when I posted that so don't quite recall it. ha
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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by D-train » Thu Jul 17, 2025 8:23 pm

Bil522 wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 7:28 pm
I am putting this here but maybe it should in the draft thread. This is an article from the Athletic by Keith Law about what he thinks about the top/most interesting about the Mariner picks.

Seattle Mariners: Kade Anderson the top pitcher in the class; Luke Stevenson and Nick Becker good values at their slots
The Mariners landed the player I thought was going to go first, LSU lefty starter Kade Anderson (1), who was a major reason the Tigers won their umpteenth College World Series. Anderson works at 91-95 with two fastballs and throws a slider and curveball, as well as a changeup that was one of the best in the class. I had one analyst tell me this spring he thought Anderson’s pitches graded out the best based on their characteristics when taken as a group out of any pitcher’s arsenal in the draft. He was worked hard by LSU, as they do down there, but he competed as well as any pitcher I saw this spring. He should be in the majors by the end of next year.

UNC catcher Luke Stevenson (1A) had a weird year at the plate, with a Three True Outcomes (walks, strikeouts, homers) rate of 51 percent. He posted a BABIP of just .270 despite a hard-hit rate of 57 percent, which is hard to reconcile beyond bad luck — hard-hit balls are more likely to become hits, especially if they’re hit in the air, which he did nearly two-thirds of the time. That’s a long way of saying I think he’s a lot better than the .250/.414/.552 line implies, and even if he ends up striking out 25 percent of the time he’ll be an above-average regular because he can catch and throw and he has power.

New Jersey prep shortstop Nick Becker (2) might have been a first-rounder if someone hadn’t altered his swing to make him all launch-angly, a change that might be appropriate for big power hitters but not for Becker, as he didn’t hit nearly as well this summer with a steep uphill swing that cost him contact. He’s a 55 runner and has a better than even chance to stay at shortstop. If the Mariners can undo the mechanical damage — and many others, like the Siani brothers and Griff O’Ferrall, have not been able to reverse similar swing changes — they could have a star here.

Right-hander Griffin Hugus (3) transferred from Cincinnati, where he was a reliever for two years, to Miami this spring to join the Hurricanes’ rotation. He led Miami in all the things, as their only starter to take the ball every weekend, working mostly fastball/slider, 92-94 on the four-seamer, with a curve and seldom-used changeup. Nothing here is plus yet, but he repeats the delivery well (with a full windup, kind of a novelty at this point) and showed much better command and control working in the rotation than he did in relief. What rhymes with Hugus?

Dallas Baptist lefty Mason Peters (4) struck out 31.5 percent of batters he faced this spring, working mostly in relief, but with an even higher strikeout rate in his four starts (35.8 percent). He’s a slightly smaller guy who works 92-94 with two solid breaking balls, a slider and an old-school curveball, and comes very online to the plate. He needs something for righties, as he had enough of a platoon split this year to affect his odds of sticking as a starter.

Indiana center fielder Korbyn Dickerson (5) has first-round tools, with at least 70 power and similar speed, but it’s a 40 hit tool at best. Once conference play began, even Big Ten pitchers gave him fits, as he posted a .319 OBP and struck out more than five times as often as he walked. This is a good spot for him, though, as this sort of upside is rare beyond the top 3-4 rounds, and you might argue that because it was his first full, healthy year in college, there could be more growth ahead of him just from getting reps.

Right-hander Lucas Kelly (6) was a two-way player in JUCO before transferring to Arizona State this year. He’s a true sidearmer who’s 95-96 but lacks an average second pitch and got tattooed by lefties this spring for a .556 SLG. Appalachian State right-hander Jackson Steensma (9) missed 2025 after December 2024 Tommy John surgery. He’s a big kid, listed at 6-foot-4, 244 pounds, and I think maybe more than that, with a basket of four fringy to average pitches, and threw them all for enough strikes as a sophomore that he would probably have gone in the top 5 rounds had he been healthy.
Becker is my third fav prospect behing Laz and Arroyo. Can't believe these jokers are always f-ing with guys swings.
dt

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Re: 2025 Prospects Thread

Post by Michael K. » Thu Jul 17, 2025 8:36 pm

D-train wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 8:20 pm
D-train wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:46 am
Juliooooo wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 3:36 am
Laz
Anderson
Emerson
Arroyo
Ford
Farmelo
Celestin
Cjintje
Sloan
Becker


Knocking on the door, Bautista and McGraw. Those are the 2 I think could find their way in there next 12 months
Holy mother of Jesus. That list is so great. God bless you my friend.
LOL I had been drinking for 3:36 when I posted that so don't quite recall it. ha
You are retired and still wait until 5 pm for cocktail hour? That is discipline my friend! Let's hope you are ready a bit earlier on Saturday....I'm thinking I might be free sooner than I thought. Stay tuned...or tuned up.

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