Ok, so based on the 2019 draft:
according to mlb.com overall score
60 point overall (x 4)
55 point 5-17 (X 13)
50 point 18-71 (53 total)
2018 Draft
60 pointers =1
55 (2-15) =14
50 (16-67) =51
2017 Draft
60 = 3
55 (4-19) =16
50 (20-65) = 46
2016
60=2
55= 18
50 = 42
2015
60 =2
55 = 18
50 = 43
I don't know how many more drafts will yield drastically different results. 2019 had 4 60-point prospects some only had one. So getting #1 is huge, #2 may or may not be important, In 2018 there was 1 60 point available in the draft and then it was preference from 2 to 15.
2014 provided a little something different:
65 X 3
60 X 10
55 X 20
50 X 47
So what does this mean? the 2019 latest top 100 from mlb.com has:
65 point 1-3
60 point 4-18
55 point 19-100 and probably beyond
I don't see how the M's can really move much further down the draft board. The preseason 2014 draft has about 8 names and I see about the same in the 2015. Being #1 sometimes but not all gives you an Alex Rodriguez, or a KGJ,
M's also had Mike Moore #3 CY and Al Chambers a nobody but he played a handful of games in mlb as a former 1-1.
If the M's could get the #1 pick it is obviously a huge plus. Some years, there is not a big difference between 2,3 or 8-9. I just don't see the M's moving more than a slot or two either way.