GT 7/26 5 game win streak starting

[harmony]

He has no walks in his last 31 AB's and just 6 in his last 129. He had 20 walks in April in 113 PA's and 16 in May in 117. Walking is how he built this really high OBP. He's not doing that anymore for some reason.

Seems FanGraphs will likely be wrong there.

Trade for Geno... put Julio at 1, Randy at 2 and JP 9th.

Ez.

Fewer MLB managers and front offices are falling for the hot bat/cold bat fallacy when a wealth of historical data is available.

Yet JP has been no stranger to moving from 9th to leadoff and back in the lineup.

He played 23 games in the beginning of the year in the 9th spot b/c he was horrible to start the year. He moved to the 1 spot when he picked it up.

In '23, same thing.

So apparently 2x managers fell for the "hot bat/cold bat fallacy" or whatever the fuck that means. It could just be, "we don't want a guy who is currently hitting like shit batting leadoff." Does that compute R2D2?

Thank you for the feedback.

To be precise, J.P. Crawford had been 3 for his last 26 at-bats (.115) when he when was moved to the leadoff slot on May 30:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/team ... ders.shtml

https://www.baseball-reference.com/play ... &year=2025

However, historical data generally supported the Crawford's move to the top of the order.

[Seattle or Bust]

Fewer MLB managers and front offices are falling for the hot bat/cold bat fallacy when a wealth of historical data is available.

Yet JP has been no stranger to moving from 9th to leadoff and back in the lineup.

He played 23 games in the beginning of the year in the 9th spot b/c he was horrible to start the year. He moved to the 1 spot when he picked it up.

In '23, same thing.

So apparently 2x managers fell for the "hot bat/cold bat fallacy" or whatever the fuck that means. It could just be, "we don't want a guy who is currently hitting like shit batting leadoff." Does that compute R2D2?

Thank you for the feedback.

To be precise, J.P. Crawford had been 3 for his last 26 at-bats (.115) when he when was moved to the leadoff slot on May 30:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/team ... ders.shtml

https://www.baseball-reference.com/play ... &year=2025

However, historical data generally supported the Crawford's move to the top of the order.

Now who is leaning on small sample sizes?

He started the year 8 for like 50 with a sub .600 OPS. He then turned it up from 4-16 to 5-10... raising his OPS by like .200 points.

I believe he was moved to the 1 spot either due to Julio not cutting it there or injuries. I can't remember exactly. BUT his play warranted a rise in the lineup even if he had struggled a bit just prior.

His recent play, especially if it continues, will warrant a drop in the lineup.

He can't be 3 for 31 with 0 walks. That is the opposite of what makes him effective given his total lack of slugging.

[harmony]

Yet JP has been no stranger to moving from 9th to leadoff and back in the lineup.

He played 23 games in the beginning of the year in the 9th spot b/c he was horrible to start the year. He moved to the 1 spot when he picked it up.

In '23, same thing.

So apparently 2x managers fell for the "hot bat/cold bat fallacy" or whatever the fuck that means. It could just be, "we don't want a guy who is currently hitting like shit batting leadoff." Does that compute R2D2?

Thank you for the feedback.

To be precise, J.P. Crawford had been 3 for his last 26 at-bats (.115) when he when was moved to the leadoff slot on May 30:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/team ... ders.shtml

https://www.baseball-reference.com/play ... &year=2025

However, historical data generally supported the Crawford's move to the top of the order.

Now who is leaning on small sample sizes?

As noted, the large-sample historical data outweighed the small-sample slump that preceded J.P. Crawford's move to the leadoff slot.