Luke Raley for Jose C
Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
I'm not going into the payroll minutiea since the payroll that they're being compared to, calculated the payroll a certain way. However, Cot's prorates their bonuses over the guaranteed years.
For M's players that are returning, I'm not recalculating. But Haniger had 2 guaranteed years, a $6M bonus that was paid when he was with SF. He has a player option for the 3rd year, but for Cot's purposes they only prorated over 2 years, and $3M was added for 2023 and 2024. So I'm saying the payroll is somewhere closer to $123M.
M's get: Merryweather
Cub's get: DeScalfani, Kuhn, Alberto Rodriguez, $5M cash
The M's save $6M.
This brings payroll to $117M.
Sign Snell for 4 yrs/$108M as follows
2024: $25M with $5M deferred to 12/2/2025
2025: $25M, can opt out after 2025 and receive $3.5M
2026: $25M, can opt out after 2026 and receive $5.5M
2027: $25M
Club option for 2028 @ $33M with $8M buyout
If $33M option exercised, then an option for $32M with $3M buyout for 2029 is vested.
Brings payroll to $137M for 2024.
For M's players that are returning, I'm not recalculating. But Haniger had 2 guaranteed years, a $6M bonus that was paid when he was with SF. He has a player option for the 3rd year, but for Cot's purposes they only prorated over 2 years, and $3M was added for 2023 and 2024. So I'm saying the payroll is somewhere closer to $123M.
M's get: Merryweather
Cub's get: DeScalfani, Kuhn, Alberto Rodriguez, $5M cash
The M's save $6M.
This brings payroll to $117M.
Sign Snell for 4 yrs/$108M as follows
2024: $25M with $5M deferred to 12/2/2025
2025: $25M, can opt out after 2025 and receive $3.5M
2026: $25M, can opt out after 2026 and receive $5.5M
2027: $25M
Club option for 2028 @ $33M with $8M buyout
If $33M option exercised, then an option for $32M with $3M buyout for 2029 is vested.
Brings payroll to $137M for 2024.
Last edited by ice99 on Sun Jan 07, 2024 9:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
Recency bias and a small sample are a bad combination.D-train wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 5:54 pmAnd LU posted negative WAR.harmony wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 5:42 pmFWIW FanGraphs projects Eugenio Suarez with 2024 WAR and wRC+ of 1.7 and 99 in 146 games while projecting Luis Urias with 2024 WAR and wRC+ of 2.0 and 104 in 110 games:Captain 97 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:58 am
You left out Geno and Urias. I don't think that helps either of those categories. They still need a 3b in my opinion.
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eugen ... osition=3B
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis- ... n=2B/3B/SS
Of course last year Suarez posted 3.2 fWAR and a 102 wRC+ in 162 games.



Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
Yeah I am not confident in any of the payroll numbers. Your plan looks great. How did Merryweather get your attention. I had never heard of him
dt
Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
Recency yes, 177 PAs isn't huge but not tiny either.harmony wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 9:38 pmRecency bias and a small sample are a bad combination.D-train wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 5:54 pmAnd LU posted negative WAR.harmony wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 5:42 pm
FWIW FanGraphs projects Eugenio Suarez with 2024 WAR and wRC+ of 1.7 and 99 in 146 games while projecting Luis Urias with 2024 WAR and wRC+ of 2.0 and 104 in 110 games:
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eugen ... osition=3B
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis- ... n=2B/3B/SS
Of course last year Suarez posted 3.2 fWAR and a 102 wRC+ in 162 games.![]()
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dt
Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
I went into the depth charts, that give wins projections and clicked on Cubs. I looked at their RP, and saw Merryweather, then looked his Fangraphs page up. He throws 98mph.
https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.a ... &teamid=17
Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
Nice. Thanks.ice99 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 9:43 pmI went into the depth charts, that give wins projections and clicked on Cubs. I looked at their RP, and saw Merryweather, then looked his Fangraphs page up. He throws 98mph.
https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.a ... &teamid=17
dt
Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
Just under 11 percent of Luis Urias' 1,614 career plate appearances.
Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
Yeah hopefully it was the injuries, he certainly isn't getting old. lol
dt
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Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
How close is Ryan Bliss? Rojas can play a little 3rd right?Captain 97 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:58 amYou left out Geno and Urias. I don't think that helps either of those categories. They still need a 3b in my opinion.
Re: Luke Raley for Jose C
How close? A 30 mile 45 minute to and hour and a half drive depending on traffic. Will he be good? I would be surprised:Sexymarinersfan wrote: ↑Mon Jan 08, 2024 2:03 amHow close is Ryan Bliss? Rojas can play a little 3rd right?Captain 97 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:58 amYou left out Geno and Urias. I don't think that helps either of those categories. They still need a 3b in my opinion.
dt