H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

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gil
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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by gil » Wed Jan 01, 2025 5:32 pm

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Tue Dec 31, 2024 10:14 pm
GL_Storm wrote:
Tue Dec 31, 2024 9:38 pm
The part of the law that specifies that these workers shouldn't displace American workers is simply not enforced. It may have been at one time. I'm not sure about that either way. But it's definitely not enforced now. Also not strictly enforced, if at all, is the provision that these workers should make the same prevailing wages as Americans in the same role. The most flagrant violators of the prevailing wage provision are the technical contracting agencies like Wipro, HCL, Aditi, and Tata. These companies get thousands of these visas each year which they use to operate a labor pipeline from India to the US. Microsoft and other tech companies pay them and they in turn pay the employees. Since the employees work for the agency, their compensation isn't measured against their FTE peers at Microsoft, Google, etc., but against their peers at the agency.

Using notional numbers, let's say in this arrangement that Wipro gets $100/hr for the services of Pradeep the engineer, out of which they'll pay him something like $50/hr plus the cost of his benefits package (which isn't nothing), and if he's onsite they'll then pay Microsoft in turn some sort of fee for the use of his cube or office. The agency will also pay the cost of all of Pradeep's equipment. When all expenses are paid, what's leftover is the margin. Probably, they'll need that to be at least 30%, which is tight, but it's a volume business. From Microsoft's perspective, this $100/hr cost might only be a few percentage points cheaper than they would pay an American agency for the same project, but think about how that adds up across the entire company.
Yeah. Not only that, but these companies are also taking advantage of employees not progressing through their careers. I'm sure these people get paid the same salaries from year 1-3 before they're shipped off for their replacement. Saves the company a ton of money to not provide a 20-year career to an American worker.

I read that the avg H1B visa recipient actually makes a slightly higher salary at Microsoft than the average entry engineer... but then when you consider that they're getting 60-80 hours a week out of these people AND not progressing them through a career... it's a puppy mill.

What happened to investing in people?
Good point. I think that investing in people is critical for success of a business. It's complex, but I think that the key is figuring out which skills to invest in. Too many American companies historically outsourced skilled positions, first manufacturing, then technology. These moves might have been good for short-term profits, but I think they hurt these companies in the long term. When the manufacturing and technology go overseas, it hurts not only the individual company, but also the country.

As I said before I think it's complex. I don't know, but am very curious about, the proportion of the demographic change on the east side is the result of "temporary" H-1B versus a more permanent immigrant population: people who work long term for a given company, become American citizens, etc. After all, there are a lot of prominent Indian-born CEOs of American companies, right? Starting with Microsoft. And also, I believe, companies such as Google/Alphabet, IBM, and Adobe.

A nagging issue for me is this: Assuming we will continue to have a dynamic, innovative, entrepreneurial economy that will lean the world, will the people who have the knowledge and skills to accomplish this be "from here" or will they be immigrants? Musk has said that American companies need to be able to recruit from everywhere. Ramaswamy has suggested that American culture is to blame for the shortage of qualified engineers. (I know this probably should be a separate topic, but if you look at tech CEOs, they are all the product of American universities, but increasingly, were not born in the U.S. Why are people born in the U.S. falling behind in this regard? Is Ramaswamy right when he said this? “A culture that celebrates the prom queen over the math olympiad champ, or the jock over the valedictorian, will not produce the best engineers.”)

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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by Seattle or Bust » Wed Jan 01, 2025 6:18 pm

bpj wrote:
Wed Jan 01, 2025 11:39 am
Seattle or Bust wrote:
Wed Jan 01, 2025 12:35 am
Curious BPJ... how do you feel about Trump winning due to a vow to protect American labor... and then selling that protection straight to Musk?

Hell, Musk called some MAGA folks who he deems racist "contemptable fools who must be removed from the Republican party root and stem."

Ramiswami more or less called many MAGA folks dumb and lazy... you know... sort of like the deplorable comment from Clinton that so many got upset over.

I thought electing Trump was about turning away from the elites who were selling folks down the river? Instead, a new set of elites are now using Trump as a puppet to screw the American worker... they just happen to have an (R) next to their names now... oops.

Image

I thought this was an interesting post.
Trump won because liberals are degenerate idiots and have run the country into the ground.

Had nothing to do with vowing to protect American labor. He promised to get illegals out and I haven't seen him waver on that.

I couldn't care less what Vivek and Elon's positions on immigration are, their job is cutting government waste, not immigration.
No. He promised an "America First" agenda. That includes protecting American Labor. The no. 1 pillar of the America First Agenda is "Make the Greatest Economy in the World Work for All Americans." The 2nd point of that pillar is "Fight for the American Worker and their Wages."

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/sta ... 9282068480 <- here is his former stance on H1B's.

He's not going to get illegal immigrants out of the country on any scale that you'll ever be happy about. He's already selling his agenda to Musk. He'll keep selling the agenda to the highest bidder... and that includes cheap labor from illegal immigrants.

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gil
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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by gil » Wed Jan 01, 2025 8:21 pm

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Wed Jan 01, 2025 6:18 pm
bpj wrote:
Wed Jan 01, 2025 11:39 am
Seattle or Bust wrote:
Wed Jan 01, 2025 12:35 am
Curious BPJ... how do you feel about Trump winning due to a vow to protect American labor... and then selling that protection straight to Musk?

Hell, Musk called some MAGA folks who he deems racist "contemptable fools who must be removed from the Republican party root and stem."

Ramiswami more or less called many MAGA folks dumb and lazy... you know... sort of like the deplorable comment from Clinton that so many got upset over.

I thought electing Trump was about turning away from the elites who were selling folks down the river? Instead, a new set of elites are now using Trump as a puppet to screw the American worker... they just happen to have an (R) next to their names now... oops.

Image

I thought this was an interesting post.
Trump won because liberals are degenerate idiots and have run the country into the ground.

Had nothing to do with vowing to protect American labor. He promised to get illegals out and I haven't seen him waver on that.

I couldn't care less what Vivek and Elon's positions on immigration are, their job is cutting government waste, not immigration.
No. He promised an "America First" agenda. That includes protecting American Labor. The no. 1 pillar of the America First Agenda is "Make the Greatest Economy in the World Work for All Americans." The 2nd point of that pillar is "Fight for the American Worker and their Wages."

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/sta ... 9282068480 <- here is his former stance on H1B's.

He's not going to get illegal immigrants out of the country on any scale that you'll ever be happy about. He's already selling his agenda to Musk. He'll keep selling the agenda to the highest bidder... and that includes cheap labor from illegal immigrants.
I don't know why it's so hard for some people to accept that Trump changed his mind. (Hell, why is it so hard for *Trump himself* to admit he changed his mind?) In 2016 he tweeted (per the link above): "I will end forever the use of H-1B as a cheap labor program, and institute an absolute requirement to hire American workers first for every visa and immigration program. No exceptions." Then last Saturday, Trump apparently told the NY Post: "I've always liked the visas. I have always been in favor of the visas. That's whey we have them."

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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Wed Jan 01, 2025 9:30 pm

Sounds like he likes the concept of the visas but not the way they have been used. They are needed to bring bright and well-educated people from other countries to fill the void created by our leftist-dominated education system which values equity and (racial) diversity over intelligence and merit. Foreigners are needed in top-level positions as research scientists and in the tech sector but shouldn't be brought here to replace equally qualified Americans in lower level jobs. We all know that happens because companies can pay them less while not providing the same benefits.

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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by Seattle or Bust » Wed Jan 01, 2025 9:45 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Wed Jan 01, 2025 9:30 pm
Sounds like he likes the concept of the visas but not the way they have been used. They are needed to bring bright and well-educated people from other countries to fill the void created by our leftist-dominated education system which values equity and (racial) diversity over intelligence and merit. Foreigners are needed in top-level positions as research scientists and in the tech sector but shouldn't be brought here to replace equally qualified Americans in lower level jobs. We all know that happens because companies can pay them less while not providing the same benefits.
There is no void.

There are more engineering and computer science degrees awarded now than in any time in American history. In 2022, over 140K engineering degrees were awarded, 80k in 2018, 60K in 2002.

Students graduating with engineering degrees are far more prepared to enter the work force compared to those who preceded them due to advancements in technology and exposure to technology through out their lives. Engineering and computer science programs have some of the strictest admission requirements of any programs at universities and they are some of the most difficult degrees to obtain.

Nothing like an 80 year old pretending to know what happens on college campuses.

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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by gil » Wed Jan 01, 2025 10:47 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Wed Jan 01, 2025 9:30 pm
Sounds like he likes the concept of the visas but not the way they have been used. They are needed to bring bright and well-educated people from other countries to fill the void created by our leftist-dominated education system which values equity and (racial) diversity over intelligence and merit. Foreigners are needed in top-level positions as research scientists and in the tech sector but shouldn't be brought here to replace equally qualified Americans in lower level jobs. We all know that happens because companies can pay them less while not providing the same benefits.
Are the visas bringing in workers whose education is in India (for example), or are the visa holders graduates of US universities who want to say here? For some reason I have been assuming it is the latter.

And I'm not sure, for all the problems with "leftist dominated education," that anyone can make the claim that US universities aren't, overall, the best in the world. If you disagree, I'd welcome the evidence.

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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by bpj » Wed Jan 01, 2025 11:13 pm

Funny to be against the skilled immigrants, but more than happy to let the terrorists and drug runners walk across the border.

Bunch of lib clowns.

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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by Seattle or Bust » Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:25 am

bpj wrote:
Wed Jan 01, 2025 11:13 pm
Funny to be against the skilled immigrants, but more than happy to let the terrorists and drug runners walk across the border.

Bunch of lib clowns.
I'm fine with illegal immigrants coming in and working in jobs that Americans left to them long ago. Like I said, agriculture crashes if you kick them out.

You want to go after farmers who rely on their labor to operate? Be my guest.

As for terrorists and drug runners... pretty sure the guy who committed terror last night was an American citizen, former US military member who was radicalized by ISIS. When was the last act of terror committed by a Mexican?

I agree... go after drug runners... but guess what, Trump was already president and drugs flowed through like water. Why'd he sit on his ass for 4 years and do diddly shit about it? A proposed border wall? You really think drug cartels are so dumb that they can't figure out how to get drugs in the US b/c a stupid wall is put up? A tariff? He did that in 2019... didn't stop shit.

Vilifying hard-working people who make this country function is a problem. H1B visa recipients play no part in making this country run. They make corporations rich and take their share back to India.

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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Thu Jan 02, 2025 4:37 am

Seattle or Bust wrote:
Wed Jan 01, 2025 9:45 pm
There is no void.

There are more engineering and computer science degrees awarded now than in any time in American history. In 2022, over 140K engineering degrees were awarded, 80k in 2018, 60K in 2002.
And the vast majority of those degrees go to foreign students.
International students are a significant source of talent for U.S. employers and allow U.S. universities to offer high-
quality academic programs in science and engineering for American students. Without international students the
number of students in America pursuing graduate degrees (master’s and Ph.D.’s) in fields such as computer and
information sciences and electrical engineering would be small relative to the size of the U.S. economy. In 2019, at
U.S. universities, there were only 9,083 full-time U.S. graduate students in electrical engineering, compared to
26,343 full-time international students. Similarly, in computer and information sciences, in 2019, there were only
17,334 full-time U.S. graduate students compared to 44,786 international graduate students at U.S. universities.1
This report updates an October 2017 study.
Among the key findings of the research:
- The number of full-time international students enrolled in graduate-level electrical engineering at U.S.
universities dropped 19.5% between 2015 and 2019. The number of full-time international students enrolled
in graduate-level computer and information sciences at U.S. universities declined 9.5% between 2016 and
2019. This decline in international graduate students was before the new restrictions imposed on Chinese
students and the impact of Covid-19. A continuation of this trend would present serious issues for U.S.
employers and universities.
- At U.S. universities, foreign nationals account for 82% of the full-time graduate students in petroleum
engineering, 74% in electrical engineering, 72% in computer and information sciences, 71% in industrial
and manufacturing engineering, 70% in statistics, 67% in economics, 61% in civil engineering, 58% in
mechanical engineering and agricultural economics, 56% in mathematics, 54% in chemical engineering,
53% in metallurgical and materials engineering, 52% in materials sciences and 50% in pharmaceutical
sciences.
- At many U.S. universities, the data show it would be difficult to maintain important graduate programs
without international students. In electrical engineering, the majority of full-time graduate students (master’s
and Ph.D.’s) are international students at 88% of the U.S. graduate school programs with at least 30
students, or 149 U.S. universities total. In computer and information sciences, the majority of full-time
graduate students are international students at 211 universities, representing 78% of the U.S. graduate
school programs with at least 30 students.

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Re: H1B Visas, Elon Musk, and Trump's Flip Flop

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Thu Jan 02, 2025 5:39 am

Good article from 3 years ago.
The U.S. economy, technology companies and American universities owe a debt to international students. Without international students, the United States would have far fewer graduate students and other highly-educated individuals with backgrounds in science and engineering, and an even more significant talent gap between economic demand and the ability to fill that demand. That is the conclusion of a new analysis of education data from the National Foundation for American Policy (NFAP).
https://www.forbes.com/sites/stuartande ... ch-talent/

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