Thread for draft simulations:

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Wed Apr 16, 2025 3:26 am

Donn Beach wrote:
Wed Apr 16, 2025 1:05 am
Bob Condotta draft predictions
https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2025/ ... l-seven-r/
Tyleik Williams is a good fit. I would draft a WR sooner than the 5th round though. And he might be able to trade back and still get Williams or another good DT (or an OG like Zabel).

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Wed Apr 16, 2025 11:36 am

I was getting Mykel Williams and Tyleik Williams mixed up. I think the Seahawks need a NT (and OG and WR) more than a DE/Edge so not sure i'd be on board with Bobby's choice there. Unless Mykel has Jared Verse talent...

Captain 97
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Captain 97 » Wed Apr 16, 2025 4:36 pm

I wanted to see what we could have done if we tanked this year and got the #1 overall so I did a draft where I controlled both Tennessee and Seattle. I then Traded with myself so that Seattle and Tennessee swapped picks but I let Seattle keep the second and 3rd round picks that they got in the Geno and DK trades. Did a whole bunch of trading back and slayed it. I think we could win with a draft class like this LOL.
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Donn Beach
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Donn Beach » Wed Apr 16, 2025 5:20 pm

The Loveland swell just keeps growing
Despite those issues, Bleacher Report’s Gary Davenport believes they would be an ideal fit for a player at a completely different position. He named an ideal landing spot for the top skill players, with Seattle as his choice for Michigan tight end Colston Loveland.

”Loveland didn’t post huge numbers in college, but that had more to do with the team around him and the scheme he was in than any potential weaknesses in the 6’6”, 248-pounder’s well-rounded game. The Seattle Seahawks have undergone a number of offensive changes in the offseason, but the tight end position has been a weakness for several years in the Emerald City. Loveland would fortify that weakness immediately.” — Davenport, Bleacher Report

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Wed Apr 16, 2025 5:47 pm

Captain 97 wrote:
Wed Apr 16, 2025 4:36 pm
I wanted to see what we could have done if we tanked this year and got the #1 overall so I did a draft where I controlled both Tennessee and Seattle. I then Traded with myself so that Seattle and Tennessee swapped picks but I let Seattle keep the second and 3rd round picks that they got in the Geno and DK trades. Did a whole bunch of trading back and slayed it. I think we could win with a draft class like this LOL.
Did you trade the #1 to Seattle first, or trade back then trade the picks you got from trading back to Seattle?

Captain 97
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Captain 97 » Wed Apr 16, 2025 7:46 pm

I had Tenessee decline all trade offers and then offered all of their picks to seattle in exchange for all of Seattle's picks. Once that trade was done other teams started offering Seattle for the #1.

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Wed Apr 16, 2025 8:32 pm

I noticed though that Tenessee's first three picks are 1, 35, and 103. Wouldn't Seattle be due to get picks 1, 33, and 65 (along with the first pick in round 7) while losing 18, 50, 82 and 234 if they had tanked for the worst record in 2024?

Captain 97
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Captain 97 » Wed Apr 16, 2025 10:14 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Wed Apr 16, 2025 8:32 pm
I noticed though that Tenessee's first three picks are 1, 35, and 103. Wouldn't Seattle be due to get picks 1, 33, and 65 (along with the first pick in round 7) while losing 18, 50, 82 and 234 if they had tanked for the worst record in 2024?
If teams have the same record, their draft order changes each round. The Titans, Browns and Giants all had the same record so the Browns get the first pick in the second round and the Giants get the first pick in the 3rd round. Tennessee traded their 3rd round pick to the Chiefs for Ljarius Sneed. So yes Seattle would actually have even better picks than Tennessee if they had tanked enough for the first pick.

57reasons
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by 57reasons » Thu Apr 17, 2025 2:12 am

Captain 97 wrote:
Tue Apr 15, 2025 8:07 pm
57reasons wrote:
Sat Apr 12, 2025 2:56 am
Michael K. wrote:
Fri Apr 11, 2025 6:11 pm


I agree. It's been awhile since I had time to do a simulation, but there have been a few times I've been very pleased, and other times that I'd trade back and the guy I wanted would go right before me, so I'd trade back and it would happen again! Haha
i tried an experiment where i rejected a proposed trade, then made the exact same trade proposal myself, and guess what - it got rejected!
I had suspected that the algorithm builds in a gain expectation for the team receiving the offer - that's the only explanation i can fathom for such an outcome my test generated.
Sometimes when I was interested and trading a pick and didn't get an offer, I would try trading back a spot with nothing else involved and the team would reject it. In other words I would offer the 18th pick for the 19th pick straight up and the team would say no.
yeah, that's just a flawed algorithm right there. Recalling when that happened in real life some 20 or so years ago where the Vikings ran out of time for their top 10 pick and the next team jumped ahead of them, it made all kinds of news for how much they bungled that as if it were the worst blunder in history.

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Thread for draft simulations:

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Thu Apr 17, 2025 2:36 am

C'mon, we could've had Travis Hunter or Abdul Carter and you traded down to 24? :lol:

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