Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:17 am

If you go back and look at all the big plays Kenneth Walker made towards the end of the season, that's the loss that the Seahawks are going to feel the most. Sorry, but Price isn't at that level yet. It took Walker 4 years to get there and they were comparable talents in college.
Last edited by Sibelius Hindemith on Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:20 am, edited 2 times in total.

Donn Beach
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by Donn Beach » Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:18 am

D-train wrote:
Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:04 am
Are you going to buy a Rams Garrett jersey??? lol
Maybe, that stuff is pretty funny. You have to appreciate your opponent to really enjoy beating them.

So there's a real lack of confidence in the Seahawks going into this season. In that sense Reed probably has a point
The explanation is straightforward -- offense is more stable year-to-year than defense. And Seattle's Super Bowl run was clearly fueled by an elite defense. Even though most of the unit (and the Seattle team as a whole) is back, regression is expected even if we don't know the exact source of it.

This can be seen in the team ratings. At the end of last season, the Seahawks had a defensive FPI rating of 4.6, meaning theirs was worth 4.6 points per game relative to an average team. Now? It's 2.1. Keep in mind that the current defensive rating is still the highest in the league. But it also represents a hefty drop in confidence to how the FPI felt about that unit in the Super Bowl, because there are just so many more unknowns entering a new season.

The Rams, by contrast, won primarily with offense last season. While FPI expects some regression there, too -- L.A.'s offense had a 5.3 rating at the end of 2025 and sits at 3.9 now -- it's a smaller drop than what the model has for the Seahawks' defense. And suddenly, the Rams also have an incredible defense on paper following Monday's trade to acquire edge rusher Myles Garrett. (They already added cornerbacks Trent McDuffie and Jaylen Watson this offseason to fill the team's previous major weakness.)

The result is the Rams are the Super Bowl favorites, with a 14.9% chance to win the title. That's more than 4 percentage points higher than the next-best team, the Bills. Seattle's chances to repeat are less than half of that at 7.0%. Los Angeles was already the Super Bowl favorite before the Garrett trade, but the acquisition of the former Browns edge rusher nudged its chances of a Lombardi Trophy even higher.
https://www.espn.ph/nfl/story/_/id/4884 ... imulations

Donn Beach
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by Donn Beach » Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:30 am

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:17 am
If you go back and look at all the big plays Kenneth Walker made towards the end of the season, that's the loss that the Seahawks are going to feel the most. Sorry, but Price isn't at that level yet. It took Walker 4 years to get there and they were comparable talents in college.
As well as changing OCs again. I know dtrain doesn't see the hard part in that, he never does. But again, I'd point at the Eagles. They had a lot of success but then started churning through OCs.
2021–2022: Shane Steichen (Left to become Head Coach of the Colts)2023: Brian Johnson2024: Kellen Moore2025: Kevin Patullo2026: Sean Mannion (Hired in late January to take over the offense heading into the 2026 season

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D-train
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by D-train » Mon Jun 08, 2026 12:47 pm

Donn Beach wrote:
Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:18 am
D-train wrote:
Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:04 am
Are you going to buy a Rams Garrett jersey??? lol
Maybe, that stuff is pretty funny. You have to appreciate your opponent to really enjoy beating them.

So there's a real lack of confidence in the Seahawks going into this season. In that sense Reed probably has a point
The explanation is straightforward -- offense is more stable year-to-year than defense. And Seattle's Super Bowl run was clearly fueled by an elite defense. Even though most of the unit (and the Seattle team as a whole) is back, regression is expected even if we don't know the exact source of it.

This can be seen in the team ratings. At the end of last season, the Seahawks had a defensive FPI rating of 4.6, meaning theirs was worth 4.6 points per game relative to an average team. Now? It's 2.1. Keep in mind that the current defensive rating is still the highest in the league. But it also represents a hefty drop in confidence to how the FPI felt about that unit in the Super Bowl, because there are just so many more unknowns entering a new season.

The Rams, by contrast, won primarily with offense last season. While FPI expects some regression there, too -- L.A.'s offense had a 5.3 rating at the end of 2025 and sits at 3.9 now -- it's a smaller drop than what the model has for the Seahawks' defense. And suddenly, the Rams also have an incredible defense on paper following Monday's trade to acquire edge rusher Myles Garrett. (They already added cornerbacks Trent McDuffie and Jaylen Watson this offseason to fill the team's previous major weakness.)

The result is the Rams are the Super Bowl favorites, with a 14.9% chance to win the title. That's more than 4 percentage points higher than the next-best team, the Bills. Seattle's chances to repeat are less than half of that at 7.0%. Los Angeles was already the Super Bowl favorite before the Garrett trade, but the acquisition of the former Browns edge rusher nudged its chances of a Lombardi Trophy even higher.
https://www.espn.ph/nfl/story/_/id/4884 ... imulations
In terms of Defense we lost Riq who while talented was a head case that cost us the 49ers game with terrible coverage.

We lost Bryant who was solid but certainly not spectacular or even above average. 65.5 PFF rating.

We lost Mafe who was a role player with 2 sacks last season.

All three were replaced. Two with day 2 draft picks and 1 with a FA signing of Fowler Jr. that had a 77.6 PFF rating last season.

So much of the success is about scheme but we also landed some more than adequate replacements for guys that we chose to let walk.....
dt

Nwadventure
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by Nwadventure » Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:58 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:17 am
If you go back and look at all the big plays Kenneth Walker made towards the end of the season, that's the loss that the Seahawks are going to feel the most. Sorry, but Price isn't at that level yet. It took Walker 4 years to get there and they were comparable talents in college.
Agree that bone crushing long 3rd down run against the Niners that made Lynch lose his mind was pretty memorable -

auroraave
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by auroraave » Mon Jun 08, 2026 2:29 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:17 am
If you go back and look at all the big plays Kenneth Walker made towards the end of the season, that's the loss that the Seahawks are going to feel the most. Sorry, but Price isn't at that level yet. It took Walker 4 years to get there and they were comparable talents in college.
You have nothing to base this statement off of. Nothing. You do not know what Price's pathway will be. Let's not forget Walker didn't 'hit a groove' until the last 1/4 of his 4th season on the Seahawks. He's a good back and will (likely) be missed - but three and 3/4 years of underachievement by Walker does not correlate to Price's future success or failures on any level at all. You. Do. Not. Know. Your baseline on everything is pessimism - all your statement does is corroborate your brand - not Price's.

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D-train
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by D-train » Mon Jun 08, 2026 3:37 pm

auroraave wrote:
Mon Jun 08, 2026 2:29 pm
Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:17 am
If you go back and look at all the big plays Kenneth Walker made towards the end of the season, that's the loss that the Seahawks are going to feel the most. Sorry, but Price isn't at that level yet. It took Walker 4 years to get there and they were comparable talents in college.
You have nothing to base this statement off of. Nothing. You do not know what Price's pathway will be. Let's not forget Walker didn't 'hit a groove' until the last 1/4 of his 4th season on the Seahawks. He's a good back and will (likely) be missed - but three and 3/4 years of underachievement by Walker does not correlate to Price's future success or failures on any level at all. You. Do. Not. Know. Your baseline on everything is pessimism - all your statement does is corroborate your brand - not Price's.
Yep, as you guys know I am not the most optimistic guy in the world but I am very bullish on Price and think he will exceed Walker's ~900 yards a season, ~7 TDs a season and 4.3 ypc average...I think we actually got a steal due to him being RB2 at ND.
dt

Captain 97
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by Captain 97 » Mon Jun 08, 2026 3:49 pm

Sibelius Hindemith wrote:
Mon Jun 08, 2026 1:17 am
If you go back and look at all the big plays Kenneth Walker made towards the end of the season, that's the loss that the Seahawks are going to feel the most. Sorry, but Price isn't at that level yet. It took Walker 4 years to get there and they were comparable talents in college.
It didn't take walker 4 years to get there. Walker was fire right out of the gate than battled injury for 2 years before getting back on track last season. He had more yards his rookie season than he did last year despite only playing in 15 games and starting just 11.

He put up games of 167,133 114,109 and 107 as a rookie. He had 2 games over 100 in the regular season last year 105 against Pittsburgh and 100 in the overtime game against the Rams. He had a 9 game stretch in the middle of last year where he averaged less than 50 yards a game. Biggest game of the year was the NFC Championship and he was very mid in that game. 3.3 Yards per attempt for 62 yards rushing.

Donn Beach
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by Donn Beach » Mon Jun 08, 2026 4:11 pm

Yeah, Walker was injured at times and they never really leaned on him did they? They didn't last season until charbonnet got injured. I read a guy that surmised the RB by committee could go away with Kubiak, but I thought that style predated Kubiak. In any event I don't think it's clear how they will approach RB.

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Sibelius Hindemith
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Re: Rams Acquire Myles Garrett.

Post by Sibelius Hindemith » Mon Jun 08, 2026 5:45 pm

I don't think Price is going to be getting starter carries anyway so it's kind of irrelevant. But I don't see the combination of RBs they distribute the carries to matching what Walker did after Chafbonnet went down last year. If that's pessimism than so be it.

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